National Risk Index (NRI) map of the United States. Graphic: FEMA
National Risk Index (NRI) map of the United States. Graphic: FEMA

By Thomas Frank
25 November 2020

(E&E News) – The county most at risk for coastal flooding is not in Florida, North Carolina or New Jersey, according to the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

It’s not even on a coast.

It’s Cowlitz County, Washington, population 102,000, about 50 miles inland from the Pacific Ocean on the Columbia River.

The ranking comes from a groundbreaking analysis by FEMA that measures disaster risk in a new way.

Instead of analyzing only the likelihood of a disaster and the damage it would cause, FEMA also assessed 78 socioeconomic factors such as a community’s poverty rate, racial composition and church membership, and the percentage of residents with high-speed internet.

Those factors are important—and often overlooked—because they determine how much a community will suffer from a disaster and how quickly and thoroughly it will recover.

FEMA’s National Risk Index, released last week after six years of development, marks the first time the federal government has taken such a sweeping view of disasters.

The index has the potential to alter how the nation prepares for climate change as President-elect Joe Biden emphasizes climate issues. It also could direct more attention and money to disadvantaged communities by considering “social vulnerability” factors such as the percentage of people who are minorities, recent immigrants, or non-English speakers. [more]

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