April 3, 2012
We were warned: Evaluating a global warming projection from 1981
By Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Rein Haarsma, KNMI
2 April 2012 […] A projection from 1981 for rising temperatures in a major science journal, at a time that the temperature rise was not yet obvious in the observations, has been found to agree well with the observations since then, underestimating the observed trend by about 30%, and easily beating naive predictions of no-change or a linear continuation of trends. It is also a nice example of a statement based on theory that could be falsified and up to now has withstood the test. The “global warming hypothesis” has been developed according to the principles of sound science.
Evaluating a 1981 temperature projection
Technorati Tags: global warming,climate change
does anyone know if the under prediction of global temperature rise also applies to sea level rise?
just like temperatures, sea level rise in the next 50 years could be a devastating effect of anthropogenic climate change