The extraordinary forced relocation of illegal settlers from Kenya’s Massai Mau Forest Complex foreshadows the plight of climate refugees for the rest of the 21st century and beyond. Expect this kind of tragedy to be repeated many times in upcoming decades. In this case, settlers have defied Kenya law and encroached deeply into the forest to set up slash-and-burn agriculture and charcoal production. This puts enormous stress on the forest, in addition to the current historic drought. The Mau is one of the “water towers” of Kenya, and the rivers that issue from it are now bone dry. Lake Nakuru, which is fed by three rivers from the Mau, is now so shallow that it’s possible to walk across it. For an undertaking of this scale that affects so many people so profoundly, there’s surprisingly scant photographic coverage of the event. Here are a few images I’ve collected as the story has unfolded.   Illegal slash-and-burn agriculture in the northeast Maasai Mau. UNEP Massai Mau Forest Report 2005

The level of destruction in the western part of the Maasai Mau made it impossible to count other threats individually. However, in western part of the forest, where the pressures are much lower, it was possible to count them individually. They include:

  • 1,055 heads of livestock mostly in the south and northeast;
  • 36 burnt forest areas, mostly in the south and northeast (Photograph);
  • 148 charcoal kilns, mostly on the lower slopes;
  • 9 landslides in the northwest.

Massai Mau Forest Status Report 2005 [pdf] The River Njoro is completely dry year-round.   Downstream from Mau forest, the River Njoro is empty. 'This used to be a permanent river,' says Bernard Kuloba of KWS. BBC / L. Fredericks   So the Kenya government has made the decision: no Mau Forest, no Kenya. The Mau Forest is to be rebuilt in a massive environmental restoration project, but first, the squatters must be removed. Unfortunately, separate from the illegal forest residents are the indigenous Ogiek people. The government makes no distinction between them and the illegal settlers.   Ogiek, Kenya. © Survival   The Ogiek have protested, apparently to no avail. To my mind, this is the most tragic aspect of the whole undertaking, because we have good evidence that indigenous peoples are excellent partners in conserving their forests.   Ogiek community elders demonstrating about the planned Mau forest evictions.   In the first phase of Mau reconstruction, 20,000 families are being moved out of the forest. In this photo, a family stands in front of their small plot, which was created by slash-and-burn deforestation. Before it was settled, this area was closed-canopy forest.   Some of the residents of the Mau forest in Kenya stand by the roadside. Photograph: Finbarr O'Reilly / Reuters   In this photo, a family stands in front of their house; the wood is made from poached Mau Forest trees.   Kipkorir Ngeno, his wife and six children. BBC / L. Fredericks   Some people have deeds to their land. The government is not honoring them and will not reimburse evicted families.   Mau resident shows title deed to his land. BBC / L. Fredericks Members of the Ogiek community who live in the Nessuit area of the Mau Forest display title deeds they say were issued to them by the government in the 1990s. Photo: JOSEPH KIHERI and WILLIAM OERI   In November 2009, the evictions began. Families walked out of the forest and collected along roadsides. And waited.   The great trek: Armed with all their earthly belongings of sufurias, chickens, dogs and assorted furniture, illegal Mau Forest settlers begin to troop out a day after a government's quit notice expired. The controversial eviction of settlers out of the largest water catchment area in Kenya is to pave the way for its Sh38 billion rehabilitation. The eviction is hot politcal flashpoint which has split ODM right in the centre. Photo: Joseph Kiheri   And waited.   Seeking divine help on the burden that weighs heavily on their shoulders regarding their future, settlers in South Western Mau who are camping on the roadside at Kapkembo in Kuresoi, say a prayer before a meeting on Friday. Photo / JOSEPH KIHERI   Rangers are destroying the homes of evictees, to prevent their return. Some settlers have surreptitiously re-entered the forest.   Armed forest guards burn houses belonging to members of the Ogiek community during an exercise to evict squatters from Kipkurere Forest in Uasin Gishu District four years ago. The Kenya government is putting together a team of security officers from three agencies in readiness for expected evictions in Mau Forest, the Nation has learnt. PHOTO: JARED NYATAYA   Now the Mau Forest settlers join the ranks of internally displaced people (IDPs) living in refugee camps. The UN says there may be 150 million climate refugees by 2050. I can’t find any photos of the makeshift camps that are being set up for Mau refugees, so here’s the Dadaab refugee camp in Kenya.   An influx of new refugees from Somalia has stretched the already-thin resources available in Dadaab. (©2006 Erin Lubin / CARE)   In pictures: Mau forest